Newcastle vs Man City Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Semi Finals 1st Round EFL Cup

Newcastle vs Man City

Newcastle vs Man City will be played in the Semi Finals 1st Round of the EFL Cup, with kick-off scheduled for 01:30 AM on Tuesday, 13 January 2026. The match takes place at St James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, one of England’s most intense atmospheres, especially on a cold winter night.

Weather conditions are expected to be chilly at around 4°C, with a grass surface in good condition. With a place in the EFL Cup final at stake over two legs, this first round is crucial, and both managers are likely to balance rotation with competitiveness due to heavy injury lists.

Despite Manchester City’s superior squad depth, Newcastle’s recent home form and their last head-to-head win over City suggest this tie may be far closer than many expect.

Match Overview – Newcastle vs Man City

Newcastle vs Man City
CategoryDetails
FixtureNewcastle vs Man City
CompetitionEFL Cup
StageSemi Finals – 1st Round
Date & Kick-OffTuesday, 13 January 2026 – 01:30 AM
VenueSt James’ Park
LocationNewcastle upon Tyne, England
Capacity52,758
SurfaceGrass
Weather4°C – Cold

Newcastle are expected to line up in a 4-3-3, focusing on midfield intensity and wing transitions through Gordon and Barnes. Manchester City, likely using a 4-1-4-1, will emphasize ball control and wide attacking play despite a heavily rotated defensive line.

Recent Form Guide – Newcastle vs Man City

Newcastle United – Last 5 Matches

DateResult
10/01Draw vs Bournemouth (3–3)
07/01Win vs Leeds United (4–3)
04/01Win vs Crystal Palace (2–0)
30/12Win vs Burnley (3–1)
26/12Loss vs Manchester United (0–1)

Manchester City – Last 5 Matches

DateResult
10/01Win vs Exeter City (10–1)
07/01Draw vs Brighton (1–1)
04/01Draw vs Chelsea (1–1)
01/01Draw vs Sunderland (0–0)
27/12Win vs Nottingham Forest (2–1)

Head-to-Head – Newcastle vs Man City (Last 5 Meetings)

DateCompetitionResult
Nov 22, 2025Premier LeagueNewcastle 2–1 Man City
Feb 15, 2025Premier LeagueMan City 4–0 Newcastle
Sep 28, 2024Premier LeagueNewcastle 1–1 Man City
Mar 16, 2024FA CupMan City 2–0 Newcastle
Jan 13, 2024Premier LeagueNewcastle 2–3 Man City

Key Trend:

  • Newcastle have beaten Manchester City once in the last two meetings
  • Four of the last five encounters produced at least two goals
  • Games at St James’ Park are typically far more competitive

Top Scorers

  • Newcastle United: Joelinton – 2 goals (2 matches)
  • Manchester City: Rayan Cherki – 2 goals (2 matches)

Both sides rely heavily on midfield and wide players contributing goals, especially with rotation expected in cup competition.

Predicted Lineups – Newcastle vs Man City

Newcastle vs Man City
Newcastle United (4-3-3)PositionManchester City (4-1-4-1)
Aaron RamsdaleGKJames Trafford
Kieran TrippierRBMatheus Nunes
Malick ThiawCBAbdukodir Khusanov
Sven BotmanCBMax Alleyne
Lewis HallLBNathan Aké
Sandro TonaliCDMNico Gonzalez
Bruno GuimarãesCMBernardo Silva
JoelintonCMTijjani Reijnders
Anthony GordonRWRayan Cherki
Harvey BarnesLWJeremy Doku
Yoane WissaSTErling Haaland

Final lineups will be confirmed one hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

TeamMissing PlayersReason
NewcastleElanga, Burn, Krafth, Schär, Lascelles, Livramento, OsulaInjury
Man CityMarmoush, Stones, Gvardiol, Kovacic, Bobb, Dias, SavinhoInjury / Duty

Both teams are affected, but Manchester City’s defensive absences are particularly significant for a high-pressure away semi-final.

Statistical Projection – Newcastle vs Man City

MetricNewcastleMan City
Win Probability36%40%
Draw Probability24%
Possession42–45%55–58%
Shots on Target4–65–7
Expected Goals (xG)1.2–1.51.3–1.6
Clean Sheet Probability18%20%
Most Likely ScorerJoelintonErling Haaland

✅ Final Score Prediction

Newcastle 1–2 Man City

Likely Scorers:

  • Newcastle: Joelinton
  • Man City: Erling Haaland, Rayan Cherki

Manchester City’s quality in decisive moments, even with rotation, gives them a narrow edge. However, Newcastle are very likely to score at home, keeping the tie alive ahead of the second leg.

Confidence Levels

  • Man City Win: 40%
  • Draw: 24%
  • Newcastle Win: 36%

Read More:-

Suggested Tips (Informational Only)

  • Full-Time Result: Manchester City Win
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Total Goals
  • Anytime Scorer: Erling Haaland

⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly.

FAQs – Newcastle vs Man City

1.What time is Newcastle vs Man City?

Kick-off is at 01:30 AM on Tuesday, 13 January 2026.

2.Where will the match be played?

At St James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England.

3.What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Man City?

A 2–1 away win for Manchester City is the most likely outcome.

4.Who are the key players to watch?

Joelinton for Newcastle and Erling Haaland for Manchester City.

5.Is this a two-leg semi-final?

Yes, this is the first round (first leg) of the EFL Cup semi-final.

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