Newcastle vs Leeds United Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Round 21 Premier League

Newcastle vs Leeds United

Newcastle vs Leeds United takes place in Round 21 of the 2025–26 Premier League, with kick-off scheduled for 01:45 AM on Thursday, 8 January 2026. The match will be played at St. James’ Park in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, under cold winter conditions with temperatures expected to hover around 2°C on a grass surface.

Newcastle arrive in strong form, having won three of their last five league matches, while Leeds United remain difficult to beat but have drawn four of their previous five games. With St. James’ Park expected to be at full voice, the Magpies will look to press aggressively and continue their push up the table, while Leeds aim to frustrate and strike on the break.

Match Overview – Newcastle vs Leeds United

Newcastle vs Leeds United
CategoryDetails
FixtureNewcastle United vs Leeds United
CompetitionPremier League
MatchweekRound 21
Date & Kick-OffThursday, 8 January 2026 – 01:45 AM
VenueSt. James’ Park
LocationNewcastle upon Tyne, England
Capacity52,758
SurfaceGrass
Weather2°C – Cold

Newcastle are expected to dominate territory and apply sustained pressure, while Leeds may sit compact in a back five and look to counter through Calvert-Lewin and Okafor.

Recent Form Guide – Newcastle vs Leeds United

Newcastle United – Form Guide

DateResultOpponent
04/01Win (2–0)Crystal Palace
30/12Win (3–1)Burnley
26/12Loss (0–1)Manchester United
20/12Draw (2–2)Chelsea
17/12Win (2–1)Fulham

Newcastle have won three of their last five matches, showing defensive solidity and consistent goal output, particularly at home.

Leeds United – Form Guide

DateResultOpponent
04/01Draw (1–1)Manchester United
01/01Draw (0–0)Liverpool
28/12Draw (1–1)Sunderland
20/12Win (4–1)Crystal Palace
14/12Draw (1–1)Brentford

Leeds United are unbeaten in five matches but have drawn four times, highlighting their resilience but also a lack of cutting edge late in games.

Head-to-Head – Newcastle vs Leeds United

Overall Premier League Record

MetricDetails
Total Played29
Newcastle United Wins (Home/Away)12 (5/7)
Draws10
Leeds United Wins (Home/Away)7 (3/4)

Last 5 Premier League Meetings

DateHome TeamScoreAway Team
30 Aug 2025Leeds United0–0Newcastle United
13 May 2023Leeds United2–2Newcastle United
31 Dec 2022Newcastle United0–0Leeds United
22 Jan 2022Leeds United0–1Newcastle United
17 Sep 2021Newcastle United1–1Leeds United

Four of the last five league meetings between these sides have ended in draws, suggesting another tight contest.

Top Scorers

  • Newcastle United: Bruno Guimarães – 7 goals, 2 assists (19 matches)
  • Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin – 8 goals (18 matches)

Both midfield influence and physical presence up front are likely to play key roles in this matchup.

Predicted Lineups – Newcastle vs Leeds United

Newcastle vs Leeds United

Newcastle United (4-3-3)
Nick Pope – Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schär, Lewis Hall – Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton – Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon

Leeds United (3-5-2)
Lucas Perri – Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk – James Justin, Ilia Gruev, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Noah Okafor, Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Final lineups will be confirmed one hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

TeamMissing PlayersReason
Newcastle UnitedAlex Murphy, Daniel Burn, Emil Krafth, Jamaal Lascelles, Anthony Elanga, William OsulaInjury
Leeds UnitedJayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Daniel JamesInjury

Newcastle’s defensive depth is slightly stretched, but their midfield remains strong and balanced.

Statistical Projection – Newcastle vs Leeds United

MetricNewcastleLeeds
Win Probability48%22%
Draw Probability30%
Possession55–58%42–45%
Shots on Target5–73–4
Expected Goals (xG)1.6–2.01.0–1.3
Clean Sheet Probability32%20%
Total Goals Range2–3 Goals
Most Likely ScorerAnthony GordonDominic Calvert-Lewin

Final Score Prediction : Newcastle United 2–1 Leeds United

Likely Scorers

  • Newcastle United: Anthony Gordon, Bruno Guimarães
  • Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Confidence Levels

  • Newcastle Win: 48%
  • Draw: 30%
  • Leeds Win: 22%

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Suggested Tips (Informational Only)

  • Newcastle United to Win
  • Both Teams to Score – Yes
  • Anytime Scorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin

⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly.

FAQs – Newcastle vs Leeds United

1.What time is Newcastle vs Leeds United?

Kick-off is at 01:45 AM on Thursday, 8 January 2026.

2.Where will Newcastle vs Leeds United be played?

The match will be held at St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England.

3.What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Leeds United?

The most likely outcome is a 2–1 win for Newcastle United.

4.Who are the key players to watch in this match?

Key players include Bruno Guimarães and Anthony Gordon for Newcastle, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin for Leeds United.

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