The Premier League Round 30 clash between Sunderland vs Brighton will take place at the historic Stadium of Light in Sunderland, England. With both teams positioned in the middle of the table, this match could play an important role in shaping the final standings of the 2025/26 season.
Sunderland will aim to take advantage of home support and bounce back from a difficult run of form. Meanwhile, Brighton & Hove Albion will hope their more dynamic attacking unit can break down the Sunderland defense and secure valuable away points.
Despite Sunderland having a slightly better defensive record this season, Brighton have generated significantly higher expected goals (xG), suggesting they create more attacking opportunities. This contrast in styles could lead to a balanced and competitive encounter.
Match Overview – Sunderland vs Brighton
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Fixture | Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion |
| Competition | Premier League |
| Round | Round 30 |
| Venue | Stadium of Light |
| Location | Sunderland, England |
| Capacity | 49,000 |
| Surface | Grass |
| Weather Forecast | 10°C |
Sunderland will be eager to improve their recent results after several defeats, while Brighton will attempt to capitalize on Sunderland’s injury problems and inconsistent form.
Season So Far Comparison – Sunderland vs Brighton
| Metric | Sunderland | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 11th | 14th |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 30 | 38 |
| Avg. Goals per Match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Avg. Goals Conceded | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 26.97 | 42.1 |
| xG per 90 | 0.93 | 1.45 |
| Clean Sheets | 9 | 6 |
Brighton’s xG numbers are significantly higher, indicating they create more quality chances. However, Sunderland’s defensive discipline has allowed them to keep more clean sheets this season.
Recent Form Guide – Sunderland vs Brighton
Sunderland – Recent Matches
| Result | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|
| Loss | 0 – 3 | Arsenal |
| Loss | 0 – 1 | Liverpool |
| Loss | 1 – 3 | Fulham |
| Draw | 1 – 1 | Bournemouth |
| Loss | 0 – 1 | Leeds |
Sunderland have struggled recently, losing four of their last five matches and scoring only one goal during that stretch. Offensive creativity has been a major concern.
Brighton – Recent Matches
| Result | Score | Opponent |
|---|---|---|
| Loss | 0 – 1 | Crystal Palace |
| Win | 1 – 0 | Aston Villa |
| Loss | 0 – 2 | Brentford |
| Win | 2 – 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| Loss | 0 – 1 | Arsenal |
Brighton’s form has also been inconsistent, but they have managed two wins in their last five games, showing slightly better attacking balance than Sunderland.
Head-to-Head Record – Sunderland vs Brighton
| Played | Sunderland Wins | Draws | Brighton Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last Meeting:
Brighton 0 – 0 Sunderland (20 December 2025)
The first meeting between these sides earlier in the season ended in a goalless draw, highlighting how evenly matched they can be.
Top Scorers
| Player | Team | Goals | Assists | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Brobbey | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 22 |
| Danny Welbeck | Brighton | 10 | — | 28 |
Brighton striker Danny Welbeck has been the more consistent goal threat this season. Sunderland, however, will miss Brian Brobbey, who is currently unavailable due to injury.
Predicted Lineups – Sunderland vs Brighton
Sunderland (4-2-3-1)
Melker Ellborg
Luke O’Nien – Daniel Ballard – Omar Alderete – Trai Hume
Lutsharel Geertruida – Noah Sadiki
Nilson Angulo – Habib Diarra – Enzo Le Fée
Eliezer Mayenda
Unavailable:
Dennis Cirkin, Nordi Mukiele, Reinildo, Romaine Mundle, Brian Brobbey, Jocelin Ta Bi
Brighton & Hove Albion (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen
Mats Wieffer – Jan Paul van Hecke – Olivier Boscagli – Ferdi Kadioglu
Carlos Baleba – Pascal Groß
Diego Gómez – Jack Hinshelwood – Yankuba Minteh
Georginio Rutter
Unavailable:
Adam Webster, Kaoru Mitoma, Solly March, Stefanos Tzimas
Statistical Projection – Sunderland vs Brighton
| Metric | Sunderland | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Win Probability | 31% | 38% |
| Draw Probability | 31% | — |
| Expected Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Shots on Target | 3 – 5 | 4 – 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.9 – 1.3 | 1.2 – 1.6 |
| Clean Sheet Probability | 24% | 22% |
| Most Likely Scorer | Eliezer Mayenda | Danny Welbeck |
Brighton are expected to control more possession and create slightly more chances, but Sunderland’s home advantage could keep the match tight.
✅ Final Score Prediction – Sunderland vs Brighton
Sunderland 1 – 1 Brighton
Likely Scorers
- Danny Welbeck
- Eliezer Mayenda
Both teams have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, and Sunderland’s defensive organization combined with Brighton’s attacking creativity could result in a balanced draw.
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Suggested Tips (Informational Only)
- Both Teams to Score
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Draw or Brighton Double Chance
- Danny Welbeck Anytime Scorer
⚠️ These predictions are informational only. Football matches can produce unpredictable results.