Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast – KO Play-Offs 1st Leg UEFA

Benfica vs Real Madridc

The UEFA Champions League knockout play-off 1st leg between Benfica vs Real Madrid will be played at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) in Lisbon, with kick-off scheduled for 01:30 AM (18 February 2026).

With a capacity of 65,647 and cool 12°C conditions expected, this first leg promises intensity and tactical discipline. Benfica come into this fixture full of confidence after defeating Madrid 4–2 in the league phase, while Real Madrid arrive as La Liga leaders with attacking firepower led by Kylian Mbappé.

Match Overview – Benfica vs Real Madrid

Benfica vs Real Madrid
CategoryDetails
FixtureBenfica vs Real Madrid
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
StageKnockout Play-Off – 1st Leg
Date & Time18 February 2026 – 01:30 AM
VenueEstádio da Luz
LocationLisbon, Portugal
Capacity65,647
SurfaceGrass
Weather12°C – Cool Conditions

This is a classic European heavyweight clash between Portuguese resilience and Spanish dominance.

Season So Far Comparison – Benfica vs Real Madrid

StatisticBenficaReal Madrid
Matches Played88
Wins35
Losses53
Goals Scored1021
Goals Conceded1212
Possession (%)46%56%
Passing Accuracy (%)84%88%
Tackles Won6576
Clean Sheets22

Real Madrid’s attacking superiority is clear with 21 goals compared to Benfica’s 10. However, Benfica’s defensive discipline and tactical compactness under José Mourinho could neutralize Madrid’s dominance at home.

Recent Form Guide – Benfica vs Real Madrid

Benfica (Last 5 Matches)

DateOpponentResultScoreCompetition
13/02Santa Clara (A)Win1–2Liga Portugal
08/02Alverca (H)Win2–1Liga Portugal
01/02Tondela (A)Draw0–0Liga Portugal
28/01Real Madrid (H)Win4–2Champions League
25/01Estrela Amadora (H)Win4–0Liga Portugal

Benfica are unbeaten in four of their last five matches and have already shown they can hurt Madrid’s defense.

Real Madrid (Last 5 Matches)

DateOpponentResultScoreCompetition
14/02Real Sociedad (H)Win4–1La Liga
08/02Valencia (A)Win0–2La Liga
01/02Rayo Vallecano (H)Win2–1La Liga
28/01Benfica (A)Loss4–2Champions League
24/01Villarreal (A)Win0–2La Liga

Madrid have won four of their last five games and will be motivated to avenge their previous defeat in Lisbon.

Head-to-Head – Benfica vs Real Madrid

DateResultCompetition
28/01/2026Benfica 4–2 Real MadridUCL League Phase
28/07/2012Benfica 5–2 Real MadridEusébio Cup

Benfica surprisingly hold the recent advantage in Lisbon, but knockout football brings a different level of intensity.

Top Scorers to Watch

PlayerTeamGoalsAssistsMatches
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1317
Vangelis PavlidisBenfica928

Mbappé’s pace and clinical finishing make him the most dangerous player on the pitch, while Pavlidis has been Benfica’s reliable goal source.

Predicted Lineups – Benfica vs Real Madrid

Benfica vs Real Madrid

Benfica (4-2-3-1): Anatoliy Trubin–Amar Dedic – Tomas Araujo – Nicolás Otamendi – Samuel Dahl–Leandro Barreiro – Enzo Barrenechea–Gianluca Prestianni – Georgiy Sudakov – Andreas Schjelderup–Vangelis Pavlidis

Real Madrid (4-3-3) : Thibaut Courtois–Trent Alexander-Arnold – Antonio Rüdiger – Dean Huijsen – Alvaro Carreras–Federico Valverde – Aurélien Tchouaméni – Eduardo Camavinga–Arda Güler – Kylian Mbappé – Vinicius Junior

Unavailable Players

TeamPlayers Out
BenficaOlivio Tome (Suspension), Joao Veloso, Samuel Soares
Real MadridÉder Militao, Raul Asencio, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo

Statistical Projection – Benfica vs Real Madrid

MetricBenficaReal Madrid
Win Probability28%48%
Draw Probability24%
Expected Possession44%56%
Shots on Target4–66–9
Expected Goals (xG)1.3–1.61.9–2.4
Clean Sheet Probability30%34%
Most Likely ScorerPavlidisMbappé

Real Madrid are projected to control possession and generate more high-quality chances, but Benfica’s home advantage keeps the tie balanced.

✅ Final Score Prediction

Benfica 1–2 Real Madrid

Likely Scorers:

  • Kylian Mbappé
  • Vinicius Junior
  • Vangelis Pavlidis

Madrid’s superior attacking depth and Champions League pedigree give them a slight edge in the first leg, but the tie remains open heading into the return fixture.

Read More:- Girona vs Barcelona Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast Round 24 La Liga

Suggested Tips (Informational Only)

  • Real Madrid to Win
  • Both Teams to Score – Yes
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Anytime Scorer: Kylian Mbappé

⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Football outcomes are unpredictable—enjoy responsibly.

FAQs – Benfica vs Real Madrid

1.What time is Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Kick-off is at 01:30 AM on 18 February 2026.

2.Where is the match being played?

At Estádio da Luz in Lisbon, Portugal.

3.Who is favorite to win?

Real Madrid are slight favorites based on attacking form and overall European experience.

4.What was the result in their last meeting?

Benfica won 4–2 in January 2026.

5.What is the predicted score?

A 2–1 away win for Real Madrid.

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