Everton vs Leeds Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Round 23 Premier league

Everton vs Leeds United

The Round 23 Premier League clash between Everton vs Leeds United takes place at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, with kick-off scheduled for 01:30 AM (IST) on Tuesday, 27 January 2026.

This is a fascinating mid-table battle with contrasting statistical profiles. Everton sit 11th in the table but rank just 17th in expected goals, while Leeds United are 16th yet boast an impressive 11th-place ranking in xG. Expect a tense, tactical contest where efficiency may matter more than flair.

Match Overview – Everton vs Leeds United

Everton vs Leeds
CategoryDetails
FixtureEverton vs Leeds United
CompetitionPremier League
RoundRound 23
Date & Kick-OffTuesday, 27 January 2026 – 01:30 AM (IST)
VenueHill Dickinson Stadium
LocationLiverpool, Merseyside, England
Capacity52,888
SurfaceGrass
Weather5°C – Cold

Match Insight: Leeds United generate far more chances than their league position suggests, while Everton rely heavily on defensive structure and clean sheets at home.

Premier League Snapshot (Season So Far)

MetricEvertonLeeds United
League Position1116
Wins96
Draws57
Losses89
Goals For2430
Avg Goals Scored11
Avg Goals Conceded12
Expected Goals (xG)24.1431.96
xG per 901.101.45
Clean Sheets94

Everton’s strength lies in their defensive discipline, while Leeds’ attacking numbers hint that they could be underperforming their underlying data.

Recent Form Guide

Everton – Last 5 Matches (D–L–L–D–L)

MatchweekOpponentScoreResult
MW18Burnley (A)0–0Draw
MW19Nottingham Forest (A)0–2Loss
MW20Brentford (H)2–4Loss
MW21Wolves (H)1–1Draw
MW22Aston Villa (A)0–1Loss

Leeds United – Last 5 Matches (D–D–D–W–W)

MatchweekOpponentScoreResult
MW18Sunderland (A)1–1Draw
MW19Liverpool (A)0–0Draw
MW20Man United (H)1–1Draw
MW21Newcastle (A)4–3Win
MW22Fulham (H)1–0Win

Head-to-Head Record

Overall Meetings: 31

  • Everton Wins: 10
  • Draws: 12
  • Leeds United Wins: 9

Last 5 Meetings

DateMatchResult
Aug 18, 2025Leeds United vs Everton1–0
Feb 18, 2023Everton vs Leeds United1–0
Aug 30, 2022Leeds United vs Everton1–1
Feb 12, 2022Everton vs Leeds United3–0
Aug 21, 2021Leeds United vs Everton2–2

This fixture is traditionally tight, with four of the last five meetings decided by a single goal or ending level.

Top Scorers to Watch

  • Everton: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall – 4 goals, 2 assists (15 matches)
  • Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin – 9 goals, 1 assist (20 matches)

Calvert-Lewin’s physical presence and finishing make him the most dangerous player on the pitch.

Predicted Lineups – Everton vs Leeds United

Everton vs Leeds

Everton (4-2-3-1)
Jordan Pickford – Nathan Patterson, James Tarkowski, Jake O’Brien, Vitaliy Mykolenko –
Idrissa Gana Gueye, James Garner –
Iliman Ndiaye, Merlin Röhl, Dwight McNeil –
Thierno Barry

Leeds United (3-5-2)
Karl Darlow – Sebastiaan Bornauw, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk –
Jayden Bogle, Brenden Aaronson, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, James Justin –
Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor

Unavailable Players

TeamPlayers Out
EvertonCarlos Alcaraz, Jarrad Branthwaite, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Michael Keane, Tim Iroegbunam, Jack Grealish
Leeds UnitedAnton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Jaka Bijol, Daniel James

Everton’s injury list is longer, particularly in defense, which could stretch their usually solid back line.

Statistical Projection – Everton vs Leeds United

MetricEvertonLeeds United
Win Probability38%32%
Draw Probability30%
Expected Possession45–48%52–55%
Shots on Target3–54–6
Expected Goals (xG)1.0–1.31.2–1.6
Clean Sheet Probability29%21%
Most Likely ScorerDwight McNeilDominic Calvert-Lewin

✅ Final Score Prediction

Everton 1–1 Leeds United

Likely Scorers:

  • Dwight McNeil (Everton)
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United)

Everton’s home advantage and defensive structure should keep them competitive, but Leeds’ superior chance creation suggests they can earn a point.

Confidence Levels

  • Everton Win: 38%
  • Draw: 30%
  • Leeds United Win: 32%

Read More:-

Suggested Tips (Informational Only)

  • Draw or Leeds United Double Chance
  • Under 2.5 Total Goals
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes
  • Anytime Scorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin

⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly.

FAQs – Everton vs Leeds United

1.What time is Everton vs Leeds United?

Kick-off is at 01:30 AM (IST) on Tuesday, 27 January 2026.

2.Where is the match being played?

At Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool, England.

3.Who are the key players to watch?

Jordan Pickford for Everton and Dominic Calvert-Lewin for Leeds United.

4.What is the predicted score?

A 1–1 draw in Round 23 of the Premier League.

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