Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast Round 26 – Premier League

Chelsea vs Leeds

The Premier League Round 26 clash between Chelsea vs Leeds United will take place under the lights at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off scheduled for 01:00 AM IST on Wednesday, 11 February 2026. With Chelsea firmly in the top-four hunt and Leeds still looking over their shoulder near the relegation zone, this fixture carries weight at both ends of the table.

Chelsea arrive full of confidence after a strong run under Liam Rosenior, combining control in midfield with consistent goal output. Leeds United, managed by Daniel Farke, have shown flashes of resilience but continue to struggle away from Elland Road—especially in midweek fixtures, where defensive lapses have been costly.

Match Overview – Chelsea vs Leeds United

Chelsea vs Leeds
CategoryDetails
FixtureChelsea vs Leeds United
CompetitionPremier League
RoundRound 26
Date & Kick-OffWednesday, 11 February 2026 – 01:00 AM IST
VenueStamford Bridge
LocationLondon, England
Capacity41,841
SurfaceGrass
Broadcast (UK)TNT Sports 4

Match Insight: Chelsea have won their last seven home league matches against Leeds. Leeds have not tasted a league win at Stamford Bridge since 1999.

Season So Far Comparison – Chelsea vs Leeds United

MetricChelseaLeeds United
League Position5th16th
Wins127
Draws78
Losses610
Goals Scored4534
Avg Goals per Match2.01.0
Avg Goals Conceded1.02.0
xG (Expected Goals)47.1935.99
xG per 901.891.44
Clean Sheets94

Form Guide Chelsea vs Leeds United (Last 5 Matches)

Data reflects the most recent results as of February 10, 2026. 

Team Recent Results (Most Recent Last)Current League Position
ChelseaL – W – W – W – W5th (43 pts)
Leeds UnitedW – D – L – L – W16th (26 pts)

Head-to-Head – Chelsea vs Leeds United

All-Time Premier League Meetings (31 matches)

CategoryChelseaLeeds
Total Wins1210
Home Wins98
Away Wins32
Draws99

Last 5 Meetings

DateResult
Dec 03, 2025Leeds 3–1 Chelsea
Mar 04, 2023Chelsea 1–0 Leeds
Aug 21, 2022Leeds 3–0 Chelsea
May 11, 2022Leeds 0–3 Chelsea
Dec 11, 2021Chelsea 3–2 Leeds

Leeds won the reverse fixture earlier this season, but Stamford Bridge has historically been a fortress for Chelsea.

Top Scorers to Watch

  • Chelsea: João Pedro – 9 goals, 4 assists (25 matches)
  • Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin – 10 goals, 1 assist (23 matches)

Calvert-Lewin’s aerial presence is Leeds’ biggest threat, while João Pedro’s movement and finishing have been vital for Chelsea.

Predicted Lineups – Chelsea vs Leeds United

Chelsea vs Leeds

Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Robert Sánchez – Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella – Moisés Caicedo, Enzo Fernández – Estêvão, Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto – João Pedro

Leeds United (3-4-3)
Karl Darlow – James Justin, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk – Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor

Unavailable Players

TeamPlayers Out
ChelseaFilip Jörgensen, Levi Colwill, Reece James, Tosin Adarabioyo, Dário Essugo, Romeo Lavia, Jamie Gittens (injuries); Mykhaylo Mudryk (suspension)
Leeds UnitedAnton Stach (injury)

Chelsea’s depth should help offset absences, while Leeds’ options are thinner in midfield.

Statistical Projection – Chelsea vs Leeds United

MetricChelseaLeeds United
Win Probability58%22%
Expected Possession58–62%38–42%
Shots on Target6–83–4
Expected Goals (xG)2.1–2.51.0–1.3
Clean Sheet Probability38%18%
Most Likely ScorerJoão PedroCalvert-Lewin

✅ Final Score Prediction

Chelsea 3–1 Leeds United

Likely Scorers:

  • João Pedro
  • Cole Palmer
  • Pedro Neto
  • (Leeds) Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Chelsea’s home dominance, superior midfield control, and attacking depth point toward a convincing win, even if Leeds can threaten on the counter.

Confidence Levels

  • Chelsea Win: 58%
  • Draw: 24%
  • Leeds Win: 18%

Read More:-

Win Probability & Betting Odds (Average

OutcomeProbabilityBest Available Odds
Chelsea Win (1)56% – 59%1.62
Draw (X)22% – 28%4.50
Leeds Win (2)18% – 27%6.00
  • Chelsea to Win
  • Over 2.5 Total Goals
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes
  • Anytime Scorer: João Pedro

⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly.

FAQs – Chelsea vs Leeds United

1.What time is Chelsea vs Leeds United?

Kick-off is at 01:00 AM IST on Wednesday, 11 February 2026.

2.Where is the match being played?

At Stamford Bridge, London.

3.Who are the key players to watch?

João Pedro for Chelsea and Dominic Calvert-Lewin for Leeds United.

4.What is the predicted score?

A 3–1 home win for Chelsea.

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