The Round 16 Bundesliga clash between FC St. Pauli Vs RB Leipzig will take place at the iconic Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off scheduled for 01:00 AM (IST) on Wednesday, 28 January 2026.
This matchup brings together two teams at opposite ends of the table. St. Pauli are fighting for survival near the relegation zone, while RB Leipzig are pushing for a Champions League spot. Despite the gap in quality and form, winter conditions and the intimidating Millerntor atmosphere could still make this a tricky night for the visitors.
Match Overview – St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Fixture | FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig |
| Competition | Bundesliga |
| Round | Round 16 |
| Date & Kick-Off | Wednesday, 28 January 2026 – 01:00 AM (IST) |
| Venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Location | Hamburg, Germany |
| Capacity | 29,564 |
| Surface | Grass |
| Weather | −1°C – Freezing |
Match Insight: St. Pauli have scored the fewest goals in the league this season, while RB Leipzig average 2 goals per game despite recent inconsistency.
Bundesliga Snapshot (Season So Far)
| Statistic | St. Pauli | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 17th | 5th |
| Points | 13 (18 matches) | 35 (18 matches) |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals For | 16 | 36 |
| Goals Against | 31 | 24 |
| Goal Difference | −15 | +12 |
St. Pauli’s main problem has been creativity and finishing in the final third, while Leipzig’s numbers reflect a far more balanced and aggressive attacking approach.
Recent Form Guide-St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
St. Pauli – Last 5 Matches (D–L–L–D–D)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01 | Hamburger SV | 0–0 | Draw |
| 17/01 | Borussia Dortmund | 2–3 | Loss |
| 14/01 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1–2 | Loss |
| 04/01 | Werder Bremen | 0–0 | Draw |
| 21/12 | Mainz 05 | 0–0 | Draw |
RB Leipzig – Last 5 Matches (W–L–W–L–L)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01 | Heidenheim | 3–0 | Win |
| 17/01 | Bayern Munich | 1–5 | Loss |
| 14/01 | SC Freiburg | 2–0 | Win |
| 20/12 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1–3 | Loss |
| 12/12 | Union Berlin | 1–3 | Loss |
Head-to-Head – St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig ( 5 Recent Meetings)
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig | 2–0 | St. Pauli |
| Oct 30, 2024 | DFB Pokal | RB Leipzig | 4–2 | St. Pauli |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Bundesliga | St. Pauli | 0–0 | RB Leipzig |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2. Bundesliga | St. Pauli | 1–0 | RB Leipzig |
RB Leipzig have dominated the recent top-flight meetings, though St. Pauli did hold them to a goalless draw at home in 2024.
Top Scorers to Watch
- St. Pauli: Andreas Hountondji – 4 goals (12 matches) (currently injured)
- RB Leipzig: Christoph Baumgartner – 6 goals, 6 assists (18 matches)
With Hountondji unavailable, St. Pauli’s scoring burden will fall on a rotated front line.
Predicted Lineups – St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Adam Dźwigała, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets –
Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Eric Smith, Louis Oppie –
Joel Chima Fujita, Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage
RB Leipzig (4-3-3)
Péter Gulácsi – Ridle Baku, Willi Orbán, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, David Raum –
Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner –
Yan Diomande, Romulo Cruz, Antonio Nusa
Unavailable Players
| Team | Players Out |
|---|---|
| St. Pauli | Simon Spari, David Nemeth, Connor Metcalfe, Andreas Hountondji |
| RB Leipzig | Castello Lukeba, Forzan Assan Ouedraogo, Viggo Gebel |
Statistical Projection – St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
| Metric | St. Pauli | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Probability | 20% | 55% |
| Draw Probability | 25% | — |
| Expected Possession | 40–43% | 57–60% |
| Shots on Target | 2–3 | 5–7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.6–0.9 | 1.6–2.0 |
| Clean Sheet Probability | 22% | 44% |
| Most Likely Scorer | Martijn Kaars | Christoph Baumgartner |
✅ Final Score Prediction
St. Pauli 0–2 RB Leipzig
Likely Scorers:
- Christoph Baumgartner (RB Leipzig)
- Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig)
RB Leipzig’s superior quality, pace on the wings, and midfield control should eventually break down St. Pauli’s low block, even in freezing Hamburg conditions.
Confidence Levels
- St. Pauli Win: 20%
- Draw: 25%
- RB Leipzig Win: 55%
Read More:-
Suggested Tips (Informational Only)
- RB Leipzig to Win
- Under 3.5 Total Goals
- Both Teams to Score: No
- Anytime Sccorer: Christoph Baumgartner
⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly.
FAQs – St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
1.What time is St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?
Kick-off is at 01:00 AM (IST) on Wednesday, 28 January 2026.
2.Where is the match being played?
At the Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, Germany.
3.Who are the key players to watch?
Christoph Baumgartner for RB Leipzig and Martijn Kaars for St. Pauli.
4.What is the predicted score?
A 2–0 away win for RB Leipzig in Round 16 of the Bundesliga.