Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Round 22 Premier League

Brighton vs Bournemouth

The Premier League Round 22 fixture between Brighton vs Bournemouth will be played at the iconic American Express Stadium, with kick-off scheduled for 01:30 AM (IST) on Tuesday, 20 January 2026.

Brighton come into this contest as slight favorites, boosted by a strong home record against Bournemouth and recent resilience away from home. Bournemouth, meanwhile, arrive with attacking confidence but defensive concerns, having failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven league matches.

Match Overview – Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton vs Bournemouth
CategoryDetails
FixtureBrighton vs Bournemouth
CompetitionPremier League
RoundRound 22
Date & Kick-OffTuesday, 20 January 2026 – 01:30 AM (IST)
VenueAmerican Express Stadium
LocationFalmer, East Sussex, England
Capacity31,872
SurfaceGrass
Weather9°C – Cool

Brighton are expected to control possession through Pascal Groß and Ayari in midfield, while Bournemouth will likely look to exploit transitions using the pace and movement of Kroupi, Tavernier, and Adli.

Season So Far Comparison – Brighton vs Bournemouth

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionBournemouth
League Position1215
Wins76
Draws88
Losses67
Goals Scored3134
Avg Goals per Match12
Avg Goals Conceded12
xG (Expected Goals)33.5632.94
xG per 901.601.57
Clean Sheets55

Statistically, the two sides are very close in xG output, but Brighton’s stronger defensive numbers and home advantage give them a marginal edge.

Recent Form Guide – Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton – Last 5 Premier League Matches

MatchweekOpponentResult
MW17Sunderland (H)D 0–0
MW18Arsenal (A)L 1–2
MW19West Ham (A)D 2–2
MW20Burnley (H)W 2–0
MW21Man City (A)D 1–1

Bournemouth – Last 5 Premier League Matches

MatchweekOpponentResult
MW17Burnley (H)D 1–1
MW18Brentford (A)W 4–1
MW19Chelsea (A)D 2–2
MW20Arsenal (H)L 2–3
MW21Tottenham (H)W 3–2

Head-to-Head – Brighton vs Bournemouth (Last 5 Meetings)

DateMatchScore
13 Sep 2025Bournemouth vs Brighton2–1
25 Feb 2025Brighton vs Bournemouth2–1
23 Nov 2024Bournemouth vs Brighton1–2
28 Apr 2024Bournemouth vs Brighton3–0
24 Sep 2023Brighton vs Bournemouth1–3

Top Scorers to Watch

  • Brighton: Danny Welbeck – 8 goals (20 matches)
  • Bournemouth: Eli Junior Kroupi – 7 goals (16 matches)

Welbeck’s movement and finishing remain central to Brighton’s attack, while Kroupi has been Bournemouth’s most consistent goal threat this season.

Predicted Lineups – Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen – Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu – Yasin Ayari, Pascal Groß – Brajan Gruda, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma – Danny Welbeck

AFC Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Djordje Petrović – Alex Jimenez, James Hill, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert – Alex Scott, Lewis Cook – Amine Adli, Eli Junior Kroupi, Marcus Tavernier – Evanilson

Unavailable Players

TeamPlayers Out
BrightonYankuba Minteh, Adam Webster, Mats Wieffer, Solly March, Stefanos Tzimas
BournemouthRyan Christie, Will Dennis, Matai Akinmboni, Justin Kluivert, Tyler Adams, Ben Doak, Enes Ünal

Statistical Projection – Brighton vs Bournemouth

MetricBrightonBournemouth
Win Probability49%26%
Draw Probability25%
Possession54–58%42–46%
Shots on Target5–64–5
Expected Goals (xG)1.6–2.01.2–1.6
Clean Sheet Probability28%16%
Most Likely ScorerDanny WelbeckEli Junior Kroupi

✅ Final Score Prediction

Brighton 2–1 Bournemouth

Likely Scorers

  • Danny Welbeck
  • Kaoru Mitoma
  • Eli Junior Kroupi

Brighton’s home dominance in this fixture, combined with Bournemouth’s defensive struggles, points toward a narrow but deserved home win. Expect Bournemouth to threaten going forward, but Brighton’s balance and control should prove decisive.

Confidence Levels

  • Bournemouth Win: 26%
  • Brighton Win: 49%
  • Draw: 25%

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Suggested Tips (Informational Only)

  • Brighton to Win
  • Over 2.5 Total Goals
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes
  • Anytime Scorer: Danny Welbeck

⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly.

FAQs – Brighton vs Bournemouth

1.What time is Brighton vs Bournemouth?

Kick-off is at 01:30 AM (IST) on Tuesday, 20 January 2026.

2.Where is the match being played?

At the American Express Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex.

3.Who are the key players to watch?

Danny Welbeck for Brighton and Eli Junior Kroupi for Bournemouth.

4.What is the predicted score?

A 2–1 home win for Brighton.

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