Genoa vs Cagliari will be played in Round 20 of the 2025–26 Serie A season, with kick-off set for 11:00 PM on Monday, 12 January 2026. The match takes place at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in Genoa, where mild winter conditions are expected, with temperatures around 12°C on a grass surface.
Although Genoa enter the match as slight home favorites, their recent performances raise serious concerns. The hosts are winless in their last five matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 consecutive games, highlighting ongoing defensive instability. Cagliari, while inconsistent, appear more resilient and better equipped to exploit Genoa’s weaknesses, particularly through quick transitions and disciplined defensive structure. Based strictly on recent form, head-to-head trends, squad availability, and tactical matchups, Cagliari have a realistic chance of leaving Genoa with all three points.
Match Overview – Genoa vs Cagliari
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Fixture | Genoa vs Cagliari |
| Competition | Serie A |
| Matchweek | Round 20 |
| Date & Kick-Off | Monday, 12 January 2026 – 11:00 PM |
| Venue | Stadio Luigi Ferraris |
| Location | Genoa, Italy |
| Capacity | 36,703 |
| Surface | Grass |
| Weather | 12°C – Mild |
Genoa are expected to line up in a 3-5-2, aiming to control midfield through Frendrup and Malinovskyi, but their defensive structure has struggled under pressure. Cagliari’s 4-3-2-1 emphasizes compact defending and fast counterattacks, a setup well suited to exploiting Genoa’s lack of defensive cohesion.
Recent Form Guide – Genoa vs Cagliari
Genoa – Last 5 Matches
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| 08/01 | Draw vs Milan (1–1) |
| 03/01 | Draw vs Pisa (1–1) |
| 29/12 | Loss vs Roma (1–3) |
| 21/12 | Loss vs Atalanta (0–1) |
| 14/12 | Loss vs Inter (1–2) |
Cagliari – Last 5 Matches
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| 08/01 | Draw vs Cremonese (2–2) |
| 02/01 | Loss vs Milan (0–1) |
| 27/12 | Win vs Torino (2–1) |
| 21/12 | Draw vs Pisa (2–2) |
| 13/12 | Loss vs Atalanta (1–2) |
Head-to-Head – Genoa vs Cagliari (Last 5 Meetings)
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Serie A | Cagliari 3–3 Genoa |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Serie A | Cagliari 1–1 Genoa |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Serie A | Genoa 2–2 Cagliari |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Serie A | Genoa 3–0 Cagliari |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Serie A | Cagliari 2–1 Genoa |
Key Trend:
- Three straight draws in the most recent meetings
- Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 encounters, suggesting an open contest rather than a defensive stalemate
Top Scorers
- Genoa: Lorenzo Colombo – 4 goals, 1 assist (19 matches)
- Cagliari: Sebastiano Esposito – 3 goals, 2 assists (18 matches)
Neither side possesses a prolific finisher, making efficiency and defensive errors likely deciding factors.
Predicted Lineups – Genoa vs Cagliari
Genoa (3-5-2)
Nicola Leali – Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez – Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Morten Frendrup, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Aaron Martin Caricol – Vitinha, Lorenzo Colombo
Cagliari (4-3-2-1)
Elia Caprile – Gabriele Zappa, Sebastiano Luperto, Juan Rodriguez, Riyad Idrissi – Michel Ndary Adopo, Matteo Prati, Luca Mazzitelli – Marco Palestra, Gennaro Borrelli – Semih Kılıçsoy
Final lineups will be confirmed one hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
| Team | Missing Players | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa | Siegrist, Messias, Grønbæk, Ekuban, Cornet | Injury |
| Cagliari | Yerry Mina, Deiola, Felici, Folorunsho, Belotti | Injury |
Cagliari appear slightly less affected structurally by injuries, while Genoa’s absences further limit attacking options.
Statistical Projection – Genoa vs Cagliari
| Metric | Genoa | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Win Probability | 34% | 38% |
| Draw Probability | 28% | – |
| Possession | 50–53% | 47–50% |
| Shots on Target | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.0–1.2 | 1.2–1.5 |
| Clean Sheet Probability | 10% | 22% |
| Most Likely Scorer | Colombo | Semih Kılıçsoy |
✅ Final Score Prediction
Genoa 1–2 Cagliari
Likely Scorers
- Genoa: Lorenzo Colombo
- Cagliari: Semih Kılıçsoy, Marco Palestra
Cagliari’s ability to absorb pressure and exploit Genoa’s defensive frailties makes a narrow away win the most logical and data-supported outcome.
Confidence Levels
- Cagliari Win: 38%
- Draw: 28%
- Genoa Win: 34%
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Suggested Tips (Informational Only)
- Full-Time Result: Cagliari Win
- Both Teams to Score: Yes
- Over 1.5 Total Goals
- Anytime Scorer: Semih Kılıçsoy
⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly.
FAQs – Genoa vs Cagliari
1.What time is Genoa vs Cagliari?
Kick-off is at 23:00 PM on Monday, 12 January 2026.
2.Where will the match be played?
At Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Italy.
3.What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Cagliari?
A 2–1 away win for Cagliari is the most likely outcome.
4.Who are the key players to watch?
Lorenzo Colombo for Genoa and Semih Kılıçsoy for Cagliari.